This is the last day of the seven-day lottery ticket challenge that I set for myself. Another night to do something of the week here. It would be great if we came out with a win, and this Wednesday in the NHL holds some scoring value.
There are only two games tonight, which makes it difficult to build a three-legged position. Instead of including a scorer in the Washington-Edmonton game, I instead put all my eggs in the Montreal-Vancouver basket.
The approach here is a match-up in the same game of three scorers from this game. I see scoring value at both ends tonight. I will state why I like each team to score, and then who from each team is included in the SGP.
SGP in the NHL is only available on DraftKings, so that’s where this +2500 ticket comes in.
Let’s go there.
Montreal has been quietly improving its scoring rate recently, averaging 3.6 goals per game on the road in their past five games, the tenth highest in the NHL.
On a projected target-per-game basis, their scoring should stay around 3.0, making them a good target tonight.
It was their rivalry that really drew me into the Montreal team. Vancouver have conceded 3.6 goals per game in their last five home games and they are seeing a steady stream of shots.
What caught my eye was the Canucks penalty kick, which is truly devastating by most advanced stats.
Whether it’s pre-planned, actual against, Corsi against or Corsi against high danger, this Vancouver PK is the bottom seven unit in the NHL.
With that, we load two members of Canada’s top video game line (and the first line), into a grid.
Cole Caufield and Nick Suzuki are the men on this mission, giving us a fantastic +260 value each on DraftKings.
Vancouver has been generous in scoring from left and center positions, which is where our golden geese preside over.
Caufield has one goal in five of his last 10, while Suzuki has scored in head-to-head matches.
Both of these skaters scored in the same game against Edmonton on Saturday, proving they can do it together. It was a similar situation, as Edmonton also had a bad penalty, and Montreal took the advantage with two goals in power play.
Here is to do it again.
Recording options: Cole Caufield and Nick Suzuki
Vancouver have been scoring a lot lately and at home they have averaged 4.4 goals per game in the past 5 games.
Montreal has been one of the most scoring-prone teams all season, as they’ve scored four goals per game in the past 10 games.
There’s a lot to like, but what catches my eye is the number of goals the Canadians allow in the centre.
Sure, you could go with JT Miller, but I’m more attracted to Elias Pettersson who is the second line center and top power play.
Pettersson is playing at home, with six goals in the last seven games. His shooting efforts also represent a strong leap while playing in Vancouver, and with four points of power play in his last three games at home, he seems well equipped to capitalize on a no less damage unit in Montreal.
Recording options: Elias Peterson
We’re teaming up to complete this seven-day challenge. What do we have to lose? I like all of the above and think this game offers solid scoring trends that you can apply to indie score props, more, etc.
This SGP is +2500 on DK. Good luck tonight!