Everyone loves to talk about Tesla’s regulations Credit sell, which makes sense – they’re one of the company’s more unique sources of income. In a world where income is often generated through selling motor vehicle, accessoryor branded lifestyle goodsselling “law-compliant tokens” seems a ecclesiastical anomaly. But like the Catholic Church before the Reformation, the days when Tesla sold anesthetics can be numbered.
A story from Automotive News speculates that Tesla’s EV credits will “become a hot commodity” with ever-tighter emissions restrictions, but it omits a few key details. For one, Tesla credits are ready a hot item – company sold Worth 344 million dollars only in the last quarter. But the second detail is the real obstacle for the company: California’s emissions law will soon ban the sale of regulated credits.
See, California (and states to follow its emissions standards) requires a certain percentage of revenue from each producer to be zero-emissions. Tesla, as the exclusive maker of electric vehicles, regularly completes those percentage assignments — allowing the company to sell excess credits to automakers that aren’t fully partnered yet. together. As this ratio continues to increase, traditional automakers will have to try to meet new regulations; At the same time, Tesla’s excess supply will begin to diminish. This is what we in the biz call a seller’s market, where Tesla can claim incredible prices for its credits.
But in eight short years, that financial joy ended, all thanks to our old friend, California Code of Regulations. Especially, 13 CCR 1962,4, the latest update for those ZEV percentages. In it, there’s a single sentence that would cut all those hundreds of millions of dollars from Tesla’s earnings: “A manufacturer may not sell converted ZEV or PHEV values beyond after the 2030 model year.”
The company may have the time of its life selling EV credits in the short term, but the clock is ticking down its eight remaining years of sales. After that, it’ll have to fall back on its other major non-car income stream: belt buckle discount novel back.