Teofimo Lopez vs Pedro Campa: Long shot betting options

Last week, this columnist had a couple of near misses: two picks won but they weren’t paired and the bell saved Jordan Thompson, stopping the 11/1 win. These things happen; we go again.

There’s not a lot of terrible action going on today, but I believe there are a couple of price points that stand out.

The Longshot

With only seven matches being priced, it is difficult to determine the long odds. Honestly, I’ve come close to assisting Kevin Johnson to remove the discomfort in Germany. Thankfully, I’ve come up with something more sensible.

Teofimo Lopez returns to the ring for the first time since his shock defeat to George Kambosos, last November. The loss sent shares of the former undisputed lightweight champion falling. However, there were extenuating circumstances that helped explain the lackluster performance: Lopez was extremely tight at the 135lbs division limit and multiple postponements of the Kambosos clash would not have helped his preparations.

I still believe Lopez is one of the best young boxers in the world. The move to the 140lbs weight class will suit him. However, his mentality will be the key to any future success. After beating Vasiliy Lomachenko in 2020, it seems the 2016 Olympic athlete believes he has become a superstar. At his best, Lopez is a clever fighter who sets traps, however, against the Kambosos, he has sought a knockout with every shot. If Lopez has prepared for this match like he did earlier in his career, it will be a tough night for his opponent.

The man in the opposite corner will be Pedro Campa, a once defeated Mexican. From the footage available, I suspect that Campa was designed specifically for Lopez. ‘Roca’ is aggressive, shoots from long range and has no hands particularly fast. That could be the recipe for disaster against Lopez, who owns the stellar timing.

Some might be concerned that Lopez will show signs of rust, but I think the Brooklyn-born boxer knows he needs to make a statement. Therefore, I think it is advisable to favor a match that ends under 2.5 innings at 9/2.

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