Recently by Vice President Kamala Harris decline in presidential polls According to leading pollster Frank Luntz, it could be due to a change in strategy that could lead to her defeat in the election.
in one interview with CNN on WednesdayHe said that when Harris focused on why she should be elected president, she improved in the polls.
“She had the best 60 days of any presidential candidate in modern history,” he added. “And then the moment she turned anti-Trump and focused on him and said ‘don’t vote for me, vote against him,’ that’s when everything froze.”
In fact, two major presidential elections released in recent days showed Trump gaining a slight edge over Harris with less than two weeks to go until Election Day.
In one of them, female Wall Street Journal‘S the poll gave Trump a 2% advantage over Harris, a change from August when Harris had a 2% lead. On the other hand, a word poll Financial Times and the University of Michigan’s Ross School of Business found that 44% of voters said they would trust Trump on the economy, while 43% said they would trust Harris, marking another reversal from the previous .
Meanwhile, one New York Times and Siena College The poll released Friday showed a 48%-48% tie, with Trump erasing Harris’s previous 2% lead. ONE CNN Friday’s poll left the candidates deadlocked 47%-47% after it showed Harris with a 1% advantage earlier.
Luntz warns Harris’s campaign shift could cost her the White House as voters demand more details about her.
“The reality is that Donald Trump has been clearly identified,” he explained. “He didn’t win, he didn’t lose. He is who he is, and his vote is there. She is less clearly defined and if she continues to define this race as ‘vote against Trump’, she will stay where she is and she could lose.
Indeed, the early days of the Harris campaign were marked by “joy” and optimism. But in recent weeks, they have increased their attacks on Trump, including dire warnings about the Trump administration. the threat he may pose to American democracywhich was a centerpiece of President Joe Biden’s election campaign before he dropped out.
And as former Trump administration officials have described him as a fascistwhich the Trump campaign denies, Harris piled on also.
Since Friday, Exploratory analysis of 538 giving Trump a 53/100 chance of winning the election compared to Harris’ 47/100. A week ago, Trump was in 52nd place, and three weeks ago, Harris led with a 58/100 chance.
For his part, Luntz will not make election predictions and told NewsNation on Thursday Uncommitted voters will likely determine the winner.
“I think at this point, in terms of engagement, Trump has the advantage,” he said. “In terms of potential vote ceiling, Harris has the edge, which is why I stay away from any predictions. I do not know.”
