Our tipper Jones Knows has started the season with a bang, putting Ben White up to be beaten 6/1 and he has three bets to attack this weekend.
How did we do last weekend?
Seeing Ben White switch to right-back for Arsenal proved to be a profitable position as the season kicked off with a 6/1 win for the column as he couldn’t resist wiping out Wilfried. Zaha. It’s a really lovely tool.
The dream of hitting a 100% strike rate throughout the season was on my mind as we entered Saturday but life is not rainbows and lollipops. Callum Wilson’s first goal at 5/1 went down painfully as he scored his second as Newcastle edged past Nottingham Forest, while Kyle Walker-Peters barely saw any ball. down to the right of Southampton so his chances of shooting at 5/1 proved to be a terrible bet.
P + L = +3.5
Eddie Howe has found the perfect role for Joe Willock in his system, where he can use his clever runs into dangerous areas. It is putting him in great positions, giving him quick shots per game and average expected goals since the start of the year, but his price in the market is still very attractive for a player. player intends to attack.
Since mid-January, he has led Newcastle in shots per 90 minutes (2.27) and looked like a man who played with confidence and sublime in the win over Nottingham Forest, having three. shot with an expected score of 0.19 and a seven in the counter box.
- Two Super 6 players correctly predicted the first five scores and found themselves vying for a £1m spot from West Ham vs Manchester City. None of the players predicted a 0-2 result and so the jackpot was unconfirmed…
Along with Callum Wilson, who remains of interest across all goalscoring markets, Willock is one of Newcastle’s most likely routes to a goal. That makes his 7/1 price with Sky Bet to score any time rather silly in a game that Newcastle are keen to get something of.
While it won’t attract much attention in the wide media, it feels like a big game for Wolves and their boss, Bruno Lage, who oversaw the return of just two points in the last 24 games spanning eight games. Pressure is on.
The Molineux faithful have also been served badly with a disappointing draw against Norwich and defeats to Brighton and Leeds still fresh in memory, no doubt, despite the start of a new campaign. Performance hasn’t dipped either, as illustrated by a home expected goal tally of 21.81 last season – only Norwich have a lower total.
And an energetic Fulham, fresh from a hugely impressive and exciting performance against Liverpool, is not an ideal opponent when any kind of victory will be demanded by the home fans.
Marco Silva is not one to adjust his system to suit away play, so I expect Fulham to continue where they left off last weekend. Here we have a team that was the top scorer away from home in all four divisions (50) last season – scoring four more goals than Wigan (46). The fragile wolf is very vulnerable. To me, Fulham seems like a lovely price at 2/1 with Sky Bet.
I am also looking to use my ‘inexperienced referee’ theory to raise the price for Fulham to 7/1 in the hope that he will have a busy afternoon.
John Brooks has only started four Premier League games before, averaging 5.25 cards per 90 minutes. Players are well aware of the referee’s inexperience at the top level and that, added to a more rigorous approach when a referee eager to impress lacks authority allows the game to proceed. , will make the opportunity to have the card very attractive.
In what could be an aggressive game played in a pressurized environment, it makes perfect sense to add the game to produce 50 or more bookings (10 for yellow, 25 for red) .
The bravest act is still to think for yourself. Speak loudly.
It’s time to put that into practice. Time for a double bet.
No matter how scary it may sound to put extreme faith in Tottenham to win a football game at Stamford Bridge, if I were to fully invest in the theory that Spurs are a threat in all The competition they play this season I simply have to fend them off. to beat an underripe and overwhelming Chelsea team like the outsiders at October 21 with Sky Bet.
Many of you will scream at me right now to point out that Chelsea have lost just 1 of their last 32 games against Spurs at home, winning 21. But this is a new era at Tottenham with Antonio Conte at the helm. They are getting to the point where they are playing with high energy while Chelsea – as evidenced by the past six months – are stagnating.
Now is the perfect time for Spurs to head west of London.
Thomas Tuchel was clearly unhappy with the tools at his disposal before the transfer window closed and that was stamped by their slow and steady performance in the 1-0 win over Everton.
There seemed to be a lack of attacking imagination and coherence as they stumbled on an expected (non-penalty) goalscoring figure of just 0.86 – a staggeringly low number given they’ve won 16 penalties corner in the match against a team that cannot defend the hit pieces. Lack of imagination in the areas ahead is a worry in 2022. Chelsea have scored just 34 goals compared to the expected figure of 32.1 since the start of the year with Liverpool (46), Man City (50). ) and Tottenham (51). much larger numbers in the last third.
With Chelsea’s defense still playing the best in the Premier League and Spurs finding it difficult to run away from the game, I’m happy to be greedy and increase the price by helping Conte’s men win by a goal. 7/2 score.