Boxing

Ortiz vs McKinson: Weekend Betting


IBHOF Boxing Gambler and Recipient Graham Houston looking for betting value on a busy weekend of fighting action with Vergil Ortiz vs Michael McKinson, Michael Conlan vs Miguel Marriaga, Dalton Smith vs Sam O’Maison and Tyrone McKenna vs Chris Jenkins.

We had a busy Saturday night with fights in Texas, Belfast and Sheffield. All of these shows offer exciting matches but the biggest event from a world-class point of view is the weight division match between Vergil Ortiz Jr and Michael McKinson, which takes place on Ortiz’s home ground in Fort Worth.

Ortiz is clearly a favorite (1/20 at Betfred). He is 18-0 with 18 KOs. The crowd will urge Ortiz to do 19 consecutive KOs. But if you like the idea of ​​Ortiz finishing the match within 12 scheduled rounds, you’re looking at a pretty hefty fare of 2/7 (generic).

McKinson looks hard to win, of course, but can the underdog Portsmouth surprise bettors by winning to the last bell?

There are things to like about McKinson. Like Ortiz, he is undefeated (22-0). He’s a crafty, slippery nampaw that hurts his neck to fight, and he’s completely confident in his abilities. And McKinson won comfortably in the United States in his final fight when he easily defeated left-handed teammate Alex Martin.

McKinson’s downside is that he doesn’t have much power, with just two wins in overtime. He was very good at making opponents miss and beat him with quick tackles, and he supposedly succeeded in the early rounds against Ortiz while the bigger puncher probably struggled to keep up. get his distance and time.

However, Ortiz is not just an explosive. He’s a smart boxer who knows how to get through the box and deliver educated pressure. McKinson had never met anyone as talented or powerful as Ortiz. It suggests that, at some point during the proceedings, Ortiz would say something to the British boxer.

Ortiz to win rounds 7-12 is available around 5/7 (-140) at some stores. I don’t mind that bet. If Ortiz gets McKinson out of there in six rounds, it will be a great performance. And if you feel McKinson has the guts and guts to go all 12 laps, the “gap – yes” is given at 5/2 (+250).

McKinson for annoying people? I don’t see that, but if you feel it’s possible, you’ll love the odds of 8/1 (+800) at Betfred.

Across the pond in Northern Ireland, Michael Conlan was back in action in his hometown of Belfast when he met veteran Miguel Marriaga in a featherweight 10th match. Conlan is not accepted at scale 1/12 (-1.200). He was able to get ahead and overtake Marriaga but there was concern that Conlan was knocked down in his final game when Leigh Wood pulled in a powerful finish. THAT’S RIGHT, Conlan boxed beautifully for most of the fight with Woodbuthe got tired late and just “go” in the last lap.

Still, Marriaga, despite being a difficult customer, 35 years old and looks like a warrior. We’ve seen him take a lot of penalties in two of his last three games, against Joet Gonzalez and Eduardo Ramirez respectively. In each of those games, there was a moment or two where it seemed like Marriaga could stop. The referee told himto “show me something” during the duel with Gonzalez, while a concerned doctor in charge examined Marriaga between rounds during the fight with Ramirez.

Conlan getting points is a possible outcome but seems a bit too obvious at 4/11 (-275). In fact, I don’t think Conlan’s stoppage-time goal was puzzling, as he dropped Wood a lot in the opening round. If he could catch Marriaga like that, before the old general got involved, who would know? So a “gap – Zero” at 12/5 (+240) might be something to consider.

Meanwhile, Dalton Smith is strong and successful Unsurprisingly a big favorite to beat Sam O’Maison in their duel for the vacant 140lbs British title in Sheffield. It’s what we in the UK call a “local derby”, an all-Sheffield match although the exciting and dangerous Smith is the attraction back home.

Smith looks at the extreme when weighing. But then, so did O’Maison. There’s no doubt that Smith deserves to be the favorite, but 1/33 (-3,300) is a steep admission price. And Smith to win the unattractive distance at 1/6 odds.

However, there can be several values ​​in the total number of rounds clause. The contest over 5.5 rounds is offered in even money at some stores. I don’t think it’s a terrible look. O’Maison is a smart basketball player whose only loss in Spain was 5 years ago. He will be well aware of Smith’s firepower and may have the mobility and understanding to make the showdown into the middle rounds or even beyond.

One bet that caught my eye was the “gap – no” in the 10-round weightlifting match between Tyrone McKenna and Chris Jenkins during the Conlan vs Marriaga show in Belfast. The weight up from 140lbs is probably long overdue for the 6ft 1in tall McKenna, who assured the Irish media he is feeling much stronger at 147.

McKenna is at home, he’s tall and has access to the edge, and he’s fearless and eager to please – indeed, McKenna gives the impression that he’s hoping for a match. crowd-pleasing battle tonight. Jenkins has a good boxing ability and he still plays like everyone else but his punching ability seems to be waning. Both men were vulnerable to guillotine (those tough 1950s American writers would ruthlessly call both McKenna and Jenkins “bleeders”).

It’s possible that McKenna will look good on the surface but it seems to me more likely that he will find a way to pressure Jenkins. No man is considered to be a hard hitter, so on paper the match should go all 10 innings, but my feeling is this match won’t make it to the final bell. I like the idea of ​​”the war is going nowhere” with the contradiction of7/5 (+140).

Main picture: Vergil Ortiz and undefeated 147-pound Michael McKinson clashed on Saturday night. Photo: Golden Boy Promotion.





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