There has been much debate among market watchers about when this bear market will bottom, after a volatile first half of the year for stocks. But Morgan Stanley’s chief investment officer believes the end of this bear market will come “quite quickly”. Mike Wilson, also the chief equity strategist at the US investment bank, told CNBC on Friday that’s because the economic cycle is “unusually fast.” “The recession itself, the V-shaped recovery … and then a moment of the Fed and … peak employment. So we’re just getting through this cycle, faster than we are. seen in previous cycles,” he told CNBC’s “Squawk Box Asia”. “And that’s good news. Because that means the end of this bear market is going to come pretty quickly, you know, it’s going to be painful, but it’s going to be quick.” Read more Has the bear market bottomed? Goldman’s Oppenheimer delivers his verdict – and reveals where he sees ‘great opportunities’ Is the bear market coming to an end? Here’s one of the index experts saying to keep a close eye on Citi naming its ‘most persuasive ideas’ for the second half of 2022 – and up 85%. Last month, the S&P 500 fell into a bear market — or is down 20% from its recent highs reached in January — and has remained there ever since. The Nasdaq and Dow Jones Industrial Average have also fallen, down about 28% and 16% respectively so far. It comes after a rough first half of the year – the worst since 1970 – as recession fears and hot inflation sent investors fleeing stocks. Where will the S&P 500 bottom out? The S&P 500 index closed at 3,863.16 on Friday – and Wilson says that if a recession hits, the bottom in the S&P 500 will likely be around 3,000. However, in a soft landing scenario in which a recession is avoided, he predicts the bottom will be around 3,400. However, he emphasized that the strong dollar creates a big headwind for the index. “The S&P 500 is a great fit for the currency,” said Wilson. “Immediately [the dollar is] up 17% y/y and we think it could even go higher until the Fed pivots. So you’re looking at somewhere in the 8% to 10% range for S&P earnings growth.” He added that even in the absence of a recession, there is still a risk of falling earnings. ” meaningful “.” We’ve had more of a drop in earnings, and that’s really the difference, says Wilson.