Canelo Vs GGG: Full Preview

Your author, Bob Smith, was so intrigued by this bout that he decided to retire as a boxing writer for a brief preview. He started writing articles, inspired by the rise of Golovkin in late 2012 and early 2013, and wrote about 60 articles for the site over a period of several years before going dark around 2015. .

This is a meaningful fight. It is not too late, as some suggested. Yes, it is true that Golovkin has aged and Canelo has improved. But as one thinks Golovkin clearly won the first skirmish and also won the second – at worst, it should have been a draw – this makes the fight all the more interesting. Let’s start with the first fight.

First battle

According to CompuBox, Golovkin knocked out Alvarez in 11 out of 12 rounds, and overall by nearly 50 punches, should have resulted in a decisive victory. After all, the goal of boxing is to hit and not get hit, and this is what Golovkin did. However, the judges were impressed by two things: first, Golovkin did not completely destroy Canelo, as he did with many of his previous opponents, and second, Alvarez overcame the blows. Golovkin’s power, and his blows were quicker and more swift, due to his quick hands. and beautiful technique. However, of the 24 shops that had the first teamfight, 20 scored for Golovkin, 3 considered it a draw, and only one goal for Alvarez.

I believe Golovkin was surprised and scared by Alvarez’s hand speed, punch resistance, and counter-attack, so he kept a safe distance and didn’t press into the knockout round. And at the time, the fact that Golovkin didn’t win by knockout was a huge achievement – I believe he tied the record for most consecutive title defenses, or so close. And he had 21 KOs in a row before being forced out by the nimble and nimble Daniel Jacobs. So one factor in the referee’s willingness to declare a draw was that Golovkin didn’t even knock Alvarez out, while he did in his previous 22 games, and won 21 of his 22 by knockout. direct.

Second, it is true that Canelo knocked Golovkin out with powerful punches in 7 of 12 rounds. It’s hard to find people who believe that Alvarez clearly won the first fight, or that Adelaide Byrd’s score was correct – but arguably in a number of rounds, Alvarez delivered an effective punch. more effective, at least quantitatively. Stylistically, Alvarez appeals to American and Mexican audiences, he has very fast hands and sharp shots, so regardless of impact, his power shots seem more effective than Eastern style. Au lunged forward, even when the punches felt like being kicked by a mule.

Second war

Given that the first match was concluded to be a draw, the boxing public demanded a rematch, which occurred a year later in 2018. And the results were similarly controversial – among 19 media coverage of the match, 10 people scored for Golovkin, 8 ruled it a draw and only 1 of the outlets supported Alvarez’s victory.

According to CompuBox, Golovkin won eight of the rounds, Alvarez won three of the rounds, and they threw an equal number of punches in one round. So this should have resulted in a clear win for Golovkin by hit or miss. But not so fast – Alvarez knocked Golovkin down with powerful punches in every round from round 4order round onwards, save for 5order ring. And if you look at a subset of those power punches, body blows, Canelo took down 46 shots and just 6 for Golovkin.

Again, there are two factors that give a reason, even if they don’t justify, why some judges and fans think Canelo deserves the win. The first is that Golovkin proposes a “Mexican-style” match, where both will attack it in the center of the ring and knock it down. In it, Alvarez called Golovkin bluff and advanced in this fight, leading one to speculate that Golovkin couldn’t keep up with his fast hand speed, terrible counter, and better passive, as well as having superior physical strength. . So, Golovkin’s remote tuning and boxing and overtaking Canelo should technically have given him a win, but in the eyes of many fans, Canelo solved Golovkin’s puzzle and rose to his feet. attack in front of powerful fists. Another factor is that Golovkin is extremely hesitant to chase Alvarez, especially physically, for fear of a quick counter-attack, possibly due to top lane.

I believe the reason that Golovkin lost 2nd fighting on the referee’s card if not CompuBox was the advice of his coach at the time, Abel Sanchez, to avoid throwing body shots almost entirely. I don’t understand this decision – body blows would weaken Canelo, make him less likely to advance, and establish Golovkin’s forehand. Maybe a boxing expert can tell me why a trainer would recommend this. In any case, Golovkin parted with Abel Sanchez after this fight, and Alvarez secured a controversial decisive victory.

Since the second war

There is absolutely no doubt that since the second game, Alvarez has had a better record and has improved more and accomplished more. Let’s review what each fighter has done since September 2018:

Golovkin has only fought four times in the last four years – he beat Steve Rolls, a non-entity, by 4 timesorder round of KO, and won a tough and very tight fight decision with Sergey Derevyanchenko, which some say might have gone the other way, and then two stops against Kamil Szeremata (7 (7).order ring RTD) and Ryota Murata (9order round KO). In his most recent fight, he seemed pretty troubled with Ryota Murata’s body work. Also, he lost a few rounds earlier before coming back around 5order round continued to dominate Murata until KO. All of his fights were in the middleweight division. Some might argue that he has aged, and without a doubt, he has done so chronologically, however, his last four bouts have not been so intense, so in terms of rounds and damage done, Alvarez may actually be the “older” fighter.

Alvarez has an excellent resume since 2018. He has fought 8 times and in different divisions. He had 3rd Rocky Fielding’s round KO, then beat Daniel Jacobs in middleweight, by UD, and I would say his win was more impressive than Golovkin’s. Then he beat the lackluster but still dangerous Kovalev by KO in round 11order ring. A little bit about this fight – Kovalev is in a down phase of his career, yes, but what makes him cautious and honest in the fight is Alvarez’s advantage in speed and counter attack, in the same way that Golovkin was also cautious in both matches.

Then Alvarez swept the titles in the super middleweight, I believe this happened for the first time and really found his rhythm in that weight class. In a row, he beat UD’s Callum Smith, RTD’s Billy Joe Saunders in season 9order Round and Caleb Plant by TKO in the 11order round, with only a short three round fight with Avni Yildrim, which he won KO. But more significantly, all three of these boxers are undefeated champions and Alvarez beat them all!! This is a very remarkable achievement – has to be styled for all these different fighters and excels at all of this – this is far more impressive than anything Golovkin has done. since 2018 and Alvarez has improved and learned something new in each of these matches.

Alvarez learned his limits against Dmitry Bivol, a tough and highly skilled light heavyweight champion in his infancy who won UD against Alvarez earlier this year. Still, it says a lot for Alvarez that he fought on the advice of his coaches – and I still think he can beat all but 5 of the top heavyweights. like Bivol, Beterbiev, Joe Smith or Anthony Yarde. Hopefully with the loss, he won’t try to get to the cruiser rank. I still think he will lose any rematch with Dmitry Bivol and should go on.

Malignaggi and Marquez

There are two scenarios for how this fight will play out: predictable and exciting. Paulie Malignaggi gives the predictable result that the Alvarez team has been successful in waiting for Golovkin to age, and Alvarez has improved significantly since then while Golovkin has declined due to age or at best stagnation. The two differences in this argument are that Alvarez is the better boxer now and will win in a clear and unequivocal unanimous decision or it is very likely that Alvarez will knock Golovkin out due to the difference in skill and experience. .

In contrast, Marquez’s thesis is that a strong parallel is made between Alvarez and Golovkin’s trilogy and Pacquiao and Marquez’s four fights, where Marquez has been robbed of even one victory in several fights. close and hot.

So, which argument is correct? Both have problems. The problem with Malignaggi’s thesis is that while it’s true that Alvarez waited for Golovkin chronologically, he’s had tougher matches, and has since worn out more and more. Furthermore, Alvarez is now 32 years old and has therefore been a professional boxer for more than half his life. And the KO version of this thesis ignores the chin and defense of Golovkin, who has never been knocked out or even knocked out in any boxing competition, professional or amateur, and clearly Obviously even in the game.

The problem with Marquez’s thesis is that Pacquaio is an aggressive and sometimes careless fighter who moves constantly forward and that Marques is a more defensive boxer with a higher boxing IQ; on the contrary, Golovkin is the forward, and Alvarez is a defensive fighter with a higher boxing IQ. So if anything this is in Alvarez’s favor because he’s the counter-attacker.

Sadly, I believe the outcome will be predictable – Alvarez will threaten Golovkin with his improvement, hand speed, coordination, defense and body punches. I see two possible outcomes – either Alvarez getting a clear UD win or Alvarez getting a UD clear win in part due to being knocked out with a body shot.

The previous two matches are a matter of historical record and fans can go back and record them at any time. But for this fight, Alvarez is the improved and sharper boxer and disregarding Golovkin’s best efforts, his prudence and defensive skills will only make him effective. without reckless aggression, and Alvarez will prevail with his skillful plays and effective defense. .

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