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Boost for AAP, hope for BJP, despair for Congress: Key takeaways from MCD elections | India News


NEW DELHI: The Party Aam Aadmi was once again defeated BJP in the national capital, this time in the Delhi Municipal Corporation (MCD) elections, ending 15 years of saffron party rule in the civil service.
The win will be significant for AAP, which is trying to establish itself as the BJP’s main rival in the 2024 Lok Sabha election.
Here are some key points for stakeholders
first. For Arvind Kejriwal, defeating the BJP in direct elections will boost his national ambition to become the BJP’s main rival in the presidential election. Lok Sabha Election 2024. It could help Kejriwal further improve his Delhi governance model which he sells across the country in elections. However, Kejriwal knew that the impact and scope of this victory was limited. The fact remains that it is the voters of Delhi who have shown their displeasure with his AAP when it comes to parliamentary elections.
2. AAP won a majority but its lead is slim, just eight seats above a simple majority. Kejriwal’s party could still fight for mayor. The BJP has said that the mayoral election remains an open race. With BJP’s achievement of turning the tide Conference in some states in such situations, it will be interesting to see if the AAP can manage to get its own mayor.
3. BJP may decrease, but it certainly does not go away. It challenged the poll’s predictions on the AAP scan by delivering a pretty strong performance. The BJP’s final 103 seats total may be a lot lower than the 181 seats it got in the 2017 MCD polls, but certainly enough to keep the AAP steady. For AAP accustomed to winning with an overwhelming majority, to run MCD with a strong BJP presence will be an interesting challenge.
4. The BJP will be upset with the loss, but don’t worry. It has had a proven track record of being wildly successful against regional parties in parliamentary elections. So this defeat may not affect its prospects in future elections, even in Delhi. Opinion polls have predicted that the BJP will sweep the Gujarat elections with 7 consecutive victories in the state and possibly even overtake the National Assembly in Himachal. If that happens, the BJP will have a very solid foundation ahead of the next round of council elections in 2023 and also the Lok Sabha elections in 2024.
5. The results of the MCD will worry Congress most, as all elections have done in recent times. It was once again rejected by voters and placed at the bottom of the table with a single-digit score. The long-standing major party not only lost seats, but also a significant portion of the vote. And, the main beneficiary seems to be the AAP. This fits a pattern that has led to the doom of Congress – the party that had initially lost power in the hands of the BJP is now slowly but surely giving up space to its opponents. mine.
6. Parliament will be desperately hoping for a face saver in Himachal Pradesh, the results of which will be announced tomorrow. If Congress fails to win the state, it will face the difficult task of positioning itself as the fulcrum of opposition forces against the BJP in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections. defeating the BJP in the post-election elections would reduce the prospect of being seen as the main rival of the saffron party. Most parties in the region have openly opposed the leadership of Congress, due to Congress’ poor performance against the BJP.
7. BJP’s strategy of targeting AAP against corruption may not work magic in MCD . election, but it certainly has an impact on the results. The saffron party won all three wards in the Shakur Basti constituency represented by senior AAP leader Satyendar Jain, who is serving time in prison for corruption. BJP won three of the four wards in the Patparganj assembly segment from where AAP leader Manish Sisodia was the MLA. Sisodia is under scrutiny for Delhi’s now ruined excise tax policy. Both Sisodia and Jain have been the target of repeated attacks on saffron party corruption with the BJP constantly attacking them.
8. The AAP’s victory will complicate the prospect of unity of the opposition. The opposition space has had a host of regional leaders with national ambitions who are strong in their states and have defeated the BJP. While Mamata Banerjee’s Bengali record win gave a huge boost to her national dream, K Chandrashekar Rao changed her Telangana Rashtra Samithi name to Bharat Rashtra Samithi so she could have a national role. . Kejriwal, who often talks about being an alternative to the National Assembly after winning Punjab, will feel stronger after the win. However, this may not be enough to put him first among his peers with regional leaders.
9. The BJP’s defeat in the MCD election reinforced the party’s need for a strong local leader. The party draws its appeal and success across India from Prime Minister Narendra Modi, who remains a very popular leader and draws the biggest crowds. The Modi factor is one of the only reasons for the BJP’s overwhelming success in the past two parliamentary elections. For state elections, however, the BJP’s electoral outlook is also influenced by local leadership. This has been demonstrated in West Bengal, two parliamentary elections in Delhi and now the MCD election. Going forward, the BJP will have to identify and foster local leaders.
ten. MCD results could reinforce the advantage of weaving election campaigns around development, even when taking into account other important factors like caste. AAP has successfully marketed its Delhi governance model, which focuses on health and education, and combined it with free gifts. Kejriwal in his victory speech said the MCD’s ruling was a message for parties to practice active politics. The BJP has also reaped rich electoral benefits from developed politics. Prime Minister Modi’s welfare programs have won unprecedented support among women and other marginalized groups. The BJP’s “sabka vikas” slogan is a key component of their electoral strategy. As parties prepare for the 2024 challenge, a focus on social welfare is likely to play an important role for all political parties.

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