BJP is set to wipe out Gujarat and hold Himachal Pradesh, a poll of prediction polls tonight. The Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) is likely to squeeze Delhi by winning the civic polls.
But in Gujarat, AAP is likely to finish third and manage just one figure despite its aggressive campaign, polls say.
A health warning – opinion polls are often wrong.
The results of the Gujarat and Himachal Pradesh elections will be announced on Thursday. The results of the Delhi Municipal Corporation (MCD) election will be announced one day earlier.
The BJP likely to win seventh term in a row in Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s home state, opinion polls have predicted. The exit poll gave the BJP 131 out of 182 seats in Gujarat and the National Assembly and its allies 41.
That would make it the BJP’s best performance since 2002, when it won a resounding victory in Gujarat months after riots left 1,000 people, mostly Muslims, dead.
Congressional vote tally is expected to drop significantly since 2017, when it capped the BJP at double digits (99), just seven figures more than halfway through.
The National Assembly, Gujarat’s main Opposition party since 1995, increased its total number of seats from 61 to 77 for its best performance since 1985, when it won a record 149 seats.
This time, the party’s campaign was nonchalant as it prioritized Rahul Gandhi’s Bharat Jodo Yatra while AAP positioned itself as the BJP’s main rival.
The BJP is likely to survive against incumbent in Himachal Pradesh and won a record second consecutive term, polls said. Opinion polls predict 35 out of 68 seats for the BJP – barely a majority – with Congress following closely behind with 29 seats. Polls say AAP may not even be registered in the state.
An average of three polls said AAP will promote Delhi civil service. Of the 250 wards in the redrawn civil service, AAP is predicted to win 155 and BJP, 84. Congress is likely to slide to seven seats.