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Donald Trump may claim that crime has increased during Joe Biden’s presidency — and try to link it to the wave of migrants crossing the border into the United States from Mexico — but crime across the country is real. The economy remains at a record low.

The spike in homicide rates during the pandemic, especially in major cities like Chicago and New York, drew a lot of attention in 2020 and 2021, but has been declining since.

Bar chart of homicide rates per 100,000 people, since 1990 shows After pandemic spike, U.S. homicide rate has declined

According to the FBI, in 2022, the most recent year for which nationwide data is available, there were 6.3 murders per 100,000 people, down from 6.8 and 6.5 in 2020 and 2021, respectively. 2022 numbers much lower than the 9.8 murders per 100,000 people recorded in 1991.

According to AH Datalytics, a data analytics firm, the homicide rate is estimated to be even lower in 2023, possibly falling at its fastest rate ever.

All violent crimes nationwide fell to 380.7 per 100,000 people in 2022, slightly below the pre-pandemic level of 380.8. There were 387 violent crimes per 100,000 people in 2021 and 398.5 in 2020.

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